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October 26, 2008
Posted: 2226 GMT
ATLANTA — An Obama logo sprouted overnight in my neighborhood. You couldn’t miss it if you wanted to. A brighty colored handmade sign, strategically placed along the road to grab you by the shoulders and implore you to vote for its candidate. In another neighbor’s yard, a McCain sign beckoned.
The war of the signs, symbolizing the heated times in election-gripped America. I imagine the makers of those signs lined up at the polling stations, waiting up to four hours to cast their vote early. They want to make sure their vote counts. With two wars and a grave economic mess threatening jobs, the future of a nation is at stake. Some Americans are still upset about the 2000 election when Democrat Al Gore lost to George W. Bush, mainly because of the results in Florida. After the U.S. Supreme Court halted a recount in the state, Bush was certified as the winner of Florida by a razor-thin margin of 537 votes! America learned then that “chad” was not just a name, it was the tiny piece of paper that a punch hole creates, which determined whether your vote counts. Ironically, the ballot fixes made since that election are creating new problems in the 2008 election. Some of the new machines are not working right, some poll workers are not well-enough trained to handle them. How are they going to cope with an unprecedented number of voters expected to show up on election day? People are confused and doubts are building. The number of Americans who trust their vote will count in this election has dropped by double digits from the last election in 2004. Only 58% believe their vote will be cast and counted properly, down from 72% in 2004. And the lack of trust could be a problem. Democratic supporters could refuse to accept a loss. They expect an Obama win, given his lead in the polls. But the polls could be wrong. It’s happened before … They call it the Bradley effect, named after the popular Los Angeles Mayor Tom Bradley after he ran for California Governor in 1982. Some polls showed the African American mayor ahead of his Republican challenger by 9 points but he still lost the election by a little more than one percentage point. Why were the polls wrong? Some election watchers say it was because many voters don’t tell the truth when pollsters ask if race is a factor in their vote. That’s the Bradley effect, 26 years ago. Polling has improved vastly since then; many analysts also believe the U.S. has come a long way on the question of race. Still, more than a quarter of a century later, the U.S. will be choosing between a Republican with decades of experience in foreign policy, and a man who could become its first African American President. What will the Obama effect be? We’ll soon find out. Posted by: CNN Anchor, Ralitsa Vassileva
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