Edition: U.S. | Arabic | Set Pref
October 26, 2008
Posted: 2226 GMT
ATLANTA — An Obama logo sprouted overnight in my neighborhood. You couldn’t miss it if you wanted to. A brighty colored handmade sign, strategically placed along the road to grab you by the shoulders and implore you to vote for its candidate.  In another neighbor’s yard, a McCain sign beckoned.

The war of the signs, symbolizing the heated times in election-gripped America.

I imagine the makers of those signs lined up at the polling stations, waiting up to four hours to cast their vote early. They want to make sure their vote counts. With two wars and a grave economic mess threatening jobs, the future of a nation is at stake.

Some Americans are still upset about the 2000 election when Democrat Al Gore lost to George W. Bush, mainly because of the results in Florida. After the U.S. Supreme Court halted a recount in the state, Bush was certified as the winner of Florida by a razor-thin margin of 537 votes! America learned then that “chad” was not just a name, it was the tiny piece of paper that a punch hole creates, which determined whether your vote counts.

Ironically, the ballot fixes made since that election are creating new problems in the 2008 election. Some of the new machines are not working right, some poll workers are not well-enough trained to handle them. How are they going to cope with an unprecedented number of voters expected to show up on election day?

People are confused and doubts are building. The number of Americans who trust their vote will count in this election has dropped by double digits from the last election in 2004. Only 58% believe their vote will be cast and counted properly, down from 72% in 2004.

And the lack of trust could be a problem. Democratic supporters could refuse to accept a loss. They expect an Obama win, given his lead in the polls.

But the polls could be wrong.

It’s happened before …

They call it the Bradley effect, named after the popular Los Angeles Mayor Tom Bradley after he ran for California Governor in 1982. Some polls showed the African American mayor ahead of his Republican challenger by 9 points but he still lost the election by a little more than one percentage point. Why were the polls wrong? Some election watchers say it was because many voters don’t tell the truth when pollsters ask if race is a factor in their vote.

That’s the Bradley effect, 26 years ago. Polling has improved vastly since then; many analysts also believe the U.S. has come a long way on the question of race.

Still, more than a quarter of a century later, the U.S. will be choosing between a Republican with decades of experience in foreign policy, and a man who could become its first African American President.

What will the Obama effect be?

We’ll soon find out.

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Filed under: Politics • Ralitsa Vassileva • United States


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Pressed for news   October 26th, 2008 2229 GMT

Obama is in a class by himself. There is a lot of talk about taxes. But something is missing. McCain said on Meet the Press today, that he would veto bills he voted for. That does not make sense. That proves he is talking erratic. Why vote for a bills you would veto. That is not country first.It does not make an sense at all.

DavePeters   October 26th, 2008 2311 GMT

You cite the “Bradley Effect” but recent studies do not confirm any substantial underperformance in actual polls compared with opinion polls from 1996.

It is true that Democrats tend to underperform in polls compared with opinion polls, but this reflects a combination of voter suppression and other ballot manipulation processes. RFK Junior’s book “Block the Vote” is instructive here. The Bradley vote from 1982 derived from a disconnect between exit polling and actual vote tallies, but if, as is commonly the case in heavily Democrat areas, ballots are contested due to fouling by poor machines (roughly 1 in 9), or if opinion polls fail to take into account identity challenges, then one really should be explaining this not in terms of animus towards blacks but animus by polling officials towards socially disadvantaged voters.

It seems to me that in this campaign, all, or very nearly all of the people for whom Obama’s cultural identity is an impediment are fairly open about it, or have found a figleaf to cover voting against it that they can avow. It’s hard to imagine that McCain’s figures could be even as high as they are if all those who won’t vote for a Black man aren’t already in his polling figures. One suspects also that quite a few people (both white and people of color) are disposed to vote for Obama precisely because his cultural identity — his otherness if you will — makes him appealing. Nobody could mistake him for Bush. Precisely because the politics of identity has been the centrepiece of the Republican defence, his victory will be seen as an affirmation of American social unity and thus draw those who might not otherwise be as motivated to canvas for him. And amongst young whites, being black is a cultural asset.

Nor is it clear that even all those who don’t like his blackness won’t vote for him all the same. As has been pointed out, Obama’s grandmother overcame he angst and treated him with care. It’s not uncommon for racists to make exceptions for people they know, and if Obama turns out to be someone who they beleive cvan save their pension funds, houses or jobs, his skin color may become moot for them.

Frankly, I believe the Bradley effect will turn out to be a big fat zero in the whole scehme of things.

Joshua Baser   October 26th, 2008 2338 GMT

REVISED WITH GRAMMAR CORRECTED- SORRY!!

Earlier today John McCain said on NBC’s “Meet the Press” that he can “guarantee” a win on Nov. 4 in a squeaker victory that won’t be clear until late that night.

This leads me to believe that the Senator is living in either a state of denial or that the the Republicans have a plan in place to further rent apart the fabric of this Nation by once again confusing the elective process by trying an end run through the courts.

Also today Republicans ( “Paid for by the Republican Federal Committee of PA – Victory 2008.”) sent an email to Jewish voters that likens a vote for Barack Obama to events that led up to the Holocaust.

As a Jewish male and an independent voter I believe that this newest attack is the low point of the McCain campaign and has helped me to reach the tipping point in my decisison to cast my vote for Barack Obama.

As to his claim that his years in a POW camp in a war that took place 40 years ago prepared him to lead this nation, perhaps he was just a bad pilot who was too embarassed to come home as the failure that he has shown himself to be.

Nana   October 27th, 2008 128 GMT

If the American people knew the true BHO, there would be no way they would vote for him. He is a marxist backed by people like Soros and Ayres.
I know you will never print this, the media is in the tank for Obama. I have never seen any thing like it in my 55 years.
I never voted for Bush. But I will vote for McCain this time. I honestly believe BHO is UnAmerican.

sam lea   October 27th, 2008 339 GMT

hope obama wins and tells banks lower interest rates save america

sam lea   October 27th, 2008 342 GMT

if obama wins rest world would at least listen to us again

AJ Montgomery   October 27th, 2008 343 GMT

His lack of experience and unable to tell the truth. about all of his
radical associates—-a very bad choice to elect a “Mr. know it all” to
run our country. Wake up people and smell the roses

John McCain is the only hope for this country
Obama does not know the truth—lies about all his radical friends, and suffers greatly from lack of experience. Wake up people and smell the roses .

11111

sam lea   October 27th, 2008 344 GMT

i think america is more upset with banks and race wont be a factor

sam lea   October 27th, 2008 347 GMT

hope obama wins and steps up to plate and stop asking and start telling banks what they are going to do right now and let them know only for short term like 2 years save america

Tyrone   October 27th, 2008 418 GMT

GOV.PALIN NEVER VETTED SPEAKS TO MCCAIN’S JUDGEMENT!!

Many Americans already voted for Obama, but it’s not Palin’s fault this campaign is in the toilet. It is McCain’s. John McCain lost alot of people as an Independent voter when he decided to not be himself. Period…..end of story. He pandered and listened to his base when he has never listened to them before. He got in bed with the very people that sent him down the river in 2000. He even hire the same people that trash them . After he lied and said that he would never run a campaign like that! After his nomination, he should of disowned Bush and been the maverick. His base would of understood and been in on the great illusion. He then, would of been the McCain of the 80’s and 90’s…..the man we all know. That man is no more! Now he is just evil attacking Obama for things other people have done! Never really telling what he would do for the country! HE HAS NO PLAN! Gov. Palin was a horrible pick for the republican Vice President! And the is not the fault of the press ! Palin open her mouth and nothing of Intelligence came out! And that is because she was never truly vetted by McCain. If she was her husband association with a hate group! Or the fact that Gov. Palin just two years ago was a key note speaker!

Tyrone   October 27th, 2008 420 GMT

BOTTOM LINE MCCAIN HOPES

Bottom line McCain is counting on hate and divide and white racism! McCain is hoping that white hatred of blacks is stronger then there love of country! The problem with McCain thinking is that he is so out of touch with the world and the country! And he is wrong about WHITE AMERICANS”’ Whites now see that they pay just as much for gas as non- whites and many more things are just as mad for them then non0-whites. They are in the same if not worse condition as many black people. After the discrimination of blacks ,slavery , Jim Crow seperate but equal etc…White have done little more then give 1% of the country 90% of the wealth! McCain just as the white woman THAT LIED and said she was attack by a 6 foot black man. Because she supported Obama…She was lying just like McCain and Palin about Obama! Palin never met Obama. Never asked him to his face about any issue. Yet Palin repeats over and over. Obama paling around with Bill Ayers! LIE LIE LIE! While Palin’s husband is a card carry member of a white hate group that hates America! NO ONE HAS REPORTED THE STORY! I’m counting on Americans remembering the troops that died in Iraq. FOR NOTHING! They Vulunteer and respected our government and their President to have the good and responsible judgement. When they are put in arms way! I’m voting in behalf of the troops that died in Iraq! THAT IS THE LEASE WE ALL CAN DO…………..VOTE OBAMA!!!!!!

Zeppo   October 27th, 2008 637 GMT

Obama’s radical ties would be enough for the FBI to turn him down as an applicant.

Uetjimuna   October 27th, 2008 1317 GMT

Dream all you want! Hate all you want! Obama is a people’s man!! The only thing that seperates him from the presidency in the number of days before 04/11.

tke87   October 27th, 2008 1516 GMT

I am a legal resident, been in the US for 12 years. I never followed politics before. But this year i found myself watching CNN, FOX, HHN and all other media outlets, following this race, following the add from both parties. I must say that it is RIDICULOUS!!!!
I am not a republican and I am not a Democrat. I am independent, looking at the facts and #s. On 80% of Obama’s plans for the country, he can actually turn this country around for the better. As for McCain, he lost me as his game plan always changes. to me it shows that he does not believe in himself nor in chaing the white house…. Attacking eachother in derogative adds to me is so CHILDISH, but even during the debates, OBAMA kept his poise, calm. While “maverick” shoots blanks.

I wish I could vote, if I could I would be voting OBAMA, as i am tired of paying high gas prices, high grocery prices, can not afford to buy a house due to he lending market. but most of all: TIRED OF PEOPLE FROM OTHER COUNTRIES ASKING ME WHY DID I PICK THE U.S. TO LIVE IN AS THE REST OF TEH WORLD LOST ALL RESPECT FOR THE U.S.

My response to them is:OBAMA will change that soon enough!!!!!

Pecunocan   October 27th, 2008 1645 GMT

McCain is truely out of touch with the current trend of things. who is averse to the use of computing facilities, who made the worst choice in his first major decision – his VP, who parades himself with an experience that is over 40 years old, who should be pallying around with his groundchildren, who does not understand the interest of the young at heart, who could not remember how many houses he owned, who does not understand the fundamentals of a stable economy, who is over 90% compatible and supportive of the current administration…..is definitely not the man to lead America at this critical time.

America needs an Obama, a man who is a graduate of the most rated university in the world, who traversed and triumphed against odds, who understands the parameters of flourishing economy, who knows that wars of arms is never the best, who is young at heart and believes in the powers of American mental capacity to provide affordable alternate source of power, who tackles issues and pays less attention to people talk, who stood against a war that saw Americans and innocent to untimely deaths…he is the man that will salvage whatever Bush left of the image of America.

Great Minds discuss issues while others discuss the great minds.

Vote wisely…..Vote Obama.

Pecunocan

mugwamp   October 27th, 2008 1733 GMT

Telephone polls do not take into account the young voters who have cell phones and not land lines. A reverse Bradley effect may show up, if the young voters get out and vote. This 60 year old white male had the luxury of a mail in ballot. We really need a national voting system run by a non-profit, non-partisan organization, and take it out of the hands of volunteers, stuck with a variety of voting systems, at each district and state. If we are truly a democracy, then every citizen of age, should be able to vote, without harrassment or lack of voting resources.

THEFIREMAN   October 27th, 2008 1746 GMT

People just have to use common sense- No african american presidential candidate has ever come this far in an election. In fact, most of them didn’t make it to the, “half way” point, because of their race.
Barack Obama, not only defied this racial barrier, but overcame.

Any man, still standing after such a bitter uphill battle, deserves note only my vote, but my complete support. Go Barack Obama- President of the United States of America

Jaime Remedios   October 27th, 2008 1815 GMT

Obama is music to the world’s ears. McCain’s is a broken disk that needs repair. He is so old he needs to READ everything he says. Obama say it from tjhe heart.

I could list much more differences!

Zeppo   October 27th, 2008 1833 GMT

When an SUV veers too far to the right the correct course is not to veer all the way to the left. Bush has brought this country off road to the right and Barrack Obama would swing us all the way to the left.

This will flip our SUV with all of us not even in our car seats.

I am voting McCain because he is as close to center as one can get in the Senate.

McCain is an American hero, Obama has no accomplishments to speak of, other than he was able to paint Bill Clinton as a racist.

sean   October 27th, 2008 2033 GMT

Im writing from West Africa. Im so scared America will get it so wrong again. Im not just scared for America, im scared for the world. McCain will do so much harm we cant even begin to understand. The annoying thing is that his actions wont just affect America, it affects the whole world. Please, good people of America; I grew up beleiving America was the most amazing place with the most amazing people.The world doesnt trust or share your dreams no more.You may fear Obama , i can understand, hes not what you are used to..hes black.If he were white and ran such a brilliant campaign; would you still have such reservatiuons about him?See McCains campaign, it tells you a lot about who he is and what will happen if he wins.Guys, please dont do this to the world…dont let McCain into the white house.You may not trust Obama, but you are Gods Own Country and he will see you through..but not if you elect McCain…

Ahmad, Lagos   October 27th, 2008 2108 GMT

I think the world will be a better place with Democrats and Obama in the White House now. American elections may be seeing to be for Americans. But the rest of the world need a responsible and humane ladership from America and America needs the rest of the world for its survival and prosperity. I hope American electorates will make the right choice and elect Mr Obama for the good of all!

Moyiniel   October 27th, 2008 2139 GMT

We have alot of war heroes in this country and certainly we are grateful for them but this race is about continuing in the 8 year trend set by BUSH or a CHANGE. For me it is clear. Until you have opened a repossession letter, or have filed bankrupcy due to medical bills, or was laid off and have to take your family back to your parents’ house you will not understand what many Americans are going through. Yes, this is the reality of many Americans. Do not wait for these situations to happen to you and do not undermine the real issues of this country anymore.
Please vote for change in support of our troop bring them home to their families and ensure that they are getting the right healthcare and support for their families. Vote for healthcare for all. Vote for affordable medications. Vote for better quality of life for all. Vote for better decision making in the white house. Vote for Education for all and less dept. Vote to keep people in their houses and to keep jobs in this country. Vote for our future… after all this country is all I got.

bibi from uk   October 27th, 2008 2229 GMT

America, please think of all the other people in the world. Please think of us and vote Obama. We are tired of wars and empty wallets. Good luck with your election. Vote sensibly , vote for the one that has shown character, dignity and honesty all through the campaign.

iven   October 28th, 2008 004 GMT

Do we really need experienced person to be president or intelligent person? Many times you go for job interview and you are asked to show when and where you did the type of job before.

But I wonder who has had an experienced as a president before? Mccain has never been a president before, never been a foreign minister before, never managed government budget before etc. So I am baffled when you try to portray him as the more qualified for the job.

Thats how the race game starts as you are trying to say indirectly. If Obama does not win, it is because of race not experience. He has offered more reasonable realistic approach to solving US broken economy and poor foreign image than mccain who only copies what Obama says.

US people must listen to the rest of the world as well. Bush is calling on the world leaders to help solve the financial crisis but he failed to listen to them when they spoke before Iraq war. Now the world has demonstrated that they want Obama. You guys must listen and vote for Obama for unity and prosperity not in US alone but the world at large, you owe the world that.

me me me   October 28th, 2008 004 GMT

This goes to the 55 year old Mccain fan calling Obama a Marxist… You gotta be pulling my leg. They found out the reporters husband was sending THOUSANDS to the McCain campaign, so please do your research because you have no clue what u r chattering on about…
GOBAMA!!!!

penny lane   October 28th, 2008 008 GMT

OBAMA is going to win this election, because he is the only candidate, and we certainly don’t need another “bush” in the whitehouse… we need to UNDO the damage that the Republicans have done, and to be respected again as the Best County in the world!!!

IF   October 28th, 2008 020 GMT

The choice is not between “a man with decades of experience in foreign policy” and the first afro-american candidate, as you put it.

It’s a choice between a man with decades of EXPERIENCES (not quite the same) who seems to have frozen some decades ago; a man who questions his opponent mettle (quite an accusation) whilst he has convinced himself that he has been “tested” (as a POW in a half century old war), a man who turns a deaf year to what his opponent says and repeats ad nauseum the absurd charge of “socialism”. A man who chose irresponsibly a trigger-happy. harebrained, moderately dumb, blindly ambitious running mate. A man who won’t talk to Chaves, or Ahmadinedjad or the taliban or a Castro, in short, who won’t talk to those that may put America in harm’s way.

On the other side is a man who brings hope, a clear headed cool disposition, who has stayed calm and focused amidst all the attacks. A man who wants to help those who are hurting, who believes in education, in renewing infrastructures, in clean energy, in some regulation to protect the people (it’s not one with weapons alone).

Do you think race will be a factor? I don not. And I certainly hope America has outgrown that over-talked Bradley effect.

Nelson Iwejua   October 28th, 2008 039 GMT

The whole world is watching the the American’s in this current presidential election. The Bradley effect is a non issue, Americans are wiser now, race can not put a meal at your table when you are out of job.
The economy is now the issue and a very serious one indeed, the days of deceit and political gimmick are over, the future of America and her children are now at stake. The world is simply waiting for America to lead again, change has come and that is the only thing that is constant in this planet.

Kyrre, Norway   October 28th, 2008 049 GMT

When i watch the debates and adds and discussion about the US presidental election, i cant quite shake that feeling of being back in kindergarden; insults, rumors, foul language and so on.
Its the same here in Norway whenever its an important election going on…
Just imagine how much easier it would be to vote for an candidate if you could weed out all the “junk” being said by people during an election race, and you would be able to base your opinion on hard facts instead of gossip.
That being said, this campaign has seen an massive effort by both candidates to get people to go out and vote for them, so i just hope that everything is done to allow all Americans to cast their vote in one of the most important elections ever.

Ali from Northern VA   October 28th, 2008 152 GMT

I was speeking to a good friend of mine in Southern Virginia (usually a “Red” area) and he made a very good point. He said he sees the inverse Bradley effect in his area. He says a lot of people in his area don’t want to admit to it and say they support Obama but once the curtains are pulled and they are alone they will vote Obama. It is remarkable. I told him about driving on the beltway (changing lanes) has actually gotten much easier now that I have an Obama bumper sticker. It just seems like there area alot more Obama supports than it seems, in Virginia (aka formerly known as a Red State)

Marian   October 28th, 2008 223 GMT

Watching the election from overseas I orginally lined up with Mccain but had to support Barack because Mccain does not seem to have a policy. Barack is benefiting from a well run campaign, a disorganized effort from Mccain (who is his own worst enemy), and the economic crisis. That said I can’t help but wonder if his lead will be more if he was white

Intelligencia, Alabama   October 28th, 2008 315 GMT

For the longest time, the GoP presented itself as the party of choice for “Christians” touting itself as the defender of the constitution and morality.
However, the demerits of the this President and his cohorts have undone any perceived good that was ever accomplished by his forerunners.

Doubt me? Look at the economy. Look at how many Rep. congressmen have been involved in scandals, and especially sexual ones. Even supposed their spiritual advisers, like Ted Haggard.

Looking at it from the perspective of a so called “value voter” who was tricked twice to vote his/her values, I’d say the GOP is a fraud, a bunch of vipers…of the most poisonous sort.
Who will do anything to grab, and hold on to power…upto using the Holy Word of God, the fabric of Christianity to do so.

In the meantime, they plunder the economy, and send innocent kids to a self serving war….using fear tactics….of “wolf-wolf-give-up-your-rights-and-I’ll-protect-you!”

And to top it off, they want the American people to hand over power to them for 4 more years (make that 8)….please!

Unless anyone is blind….and deaf….and demented….like ol’ McSame, you know we don’t need four more years of the Bush-Garbage.

McCain—bless his heart for the service to his country, frankly needs to go home to Arizona, and enjoy his sunset years…not the White House.

On November 4th, Vote Change, Vote OBAMA/BIDEN.

This election is not about anything else, the rest are distractions…It is about CHANGE from what is to a BETTER, a waaaaay BETTER tomorrow!

Gail Delio   October 28th, 2008 419 GMT

Before John McCain announced his running mate, I was very unsure of who I was voting for. When Sarah Palin was announced as Senator McCains running mate, I was so excited. It’s about time that this country has a female in office. This has been long time coming. Go Senator McCain and Governor Palin. I love you both. You will definitley make a great team and shake up Washington.

Gail From Phoenix, Az.

Gail Delio   October 28th, 2008 430 GMT

The most ridiculus thing and the thing that bothers me the most is that Senator OBama claims to be a christian, however he supports abortion and same sex marriages. Come on people wake up. This man is a farce and so far every word that come out of his mouth is nothing but a lie. It’s what people want to hear so he says what americans are hoping to hear. He isn’t for the little people. He’s for the rich. He isn’t going to lower taxes. He’s going to raise them and when he raises taxes for big companies, (now think about this) when he raises taxes for companies that make over 250.000,00 dollars, then we as consumers will definitely be affected. When they’re taxes are raised so will the price of everything else we purchase so who wins in the end? NOT US!!!!!

Emmerentia   October 28th, 2008 1157 GMT

Dear Gail Delio, Barack Obama is for the rich you say?? Who has more than 6 houses, married into a millionaire family after returning from POW camp in Vietnam? Look again, please. Rich takes care of the rich. Obama is a man from ordinary means, single-mother, struggling but hard working with dreams. He just wants to give other people hope to know that if government do what government should, then everyone can reach their dreams. An african-american that have come from where he has come, fought an uphill battle to reach the top of the polls 8 days before election – shows backbone, determination and purpose – perfect to lead. McCain relies on being a POW 40 years ago and by the way – he does not give himself out to be a christian and is actually also pro-choice. And Sarah Palin – what type of christian is she who abuses her power etc…? I pray that God will have mercy on America and the world and give us new world leadership in the form of Barack Obama.

Emeka   October 28th, 2008 1218 GMT

Obama is articulate,sound,a uniter,a model , an embodiment of humility………….He will certainly turn things around for America.If America rejects him Nigeria Can do with him

Louise   October 28th, 2008 1357 GMT

The public continues to maintain that Obama has no foreign experience. Isn’t his upbringing in Indonesia and his own mixed-racial background more positive experience than McCain’s stay in a foreign prison camp? Right now, the US needs a President who understands other countries and can communicate with people whose lifes can’t even be compared to those of Americans. McCain only knows how to hate foreigners, Obama can empathize with them. The world is becoming a smaller and smaller
human habitat and we need to work together, not separately.

tracy, GA   October 28th, 2008 1505 GMT

I’m not sure how this election is going to turn out because i am so afraid race is the main factor. their is no way any intelligent person could cast their vote for Mcain/Palin. It just does not go with common sense. I’ve watched their campaign from the start and Mcain has not come up with one original idea to stop this demise we are facing. He copies Obama all the time

E. O Osewa   October 28th, 2008 1525 GMT

Its highly doubtful if there would ever be an Obama effect or any other effect for that matter. Every thing in the US and world stage are working for his benefits, he has amased more money than any presidential candidate in the history of US. When he came to Europe, the welcome he received was warmer than his opponent’s…the list is endless. There are men that are called for such times as this: Nubia, Mandela, Ghandhi, now Obama, such men are not architects of their own successes and nothing ever stops them….,its a sure divine call. Obama will be president because he’s been divinely called.

elisabeth, brussels   October 28th, 2008 1537 GMT

As a US citizen abroad, I have already cast my vote. Easy choice really. Race for me is not an issue and I hope the US wakes up on Nov 5 to a new government. Obama represents everything that America should be. Half immigrant, (as 99% of americans are) worked his way up, smart, educated, family man. Strong values. He is more European in his political views and all you Americans out there, our social system, with all its flaws, gives a ten-fold superior quality of life compared to the one you have in the US. I pay VERY HIGH taxes but I will never worry about my mortgage if I lose my job, never have to dish out thousands to pay for cancer treatment or other such medical emergencies. High taxes are a way of life if you want security and quality.

YVONNE   October 28th, 2008 1618 GMT

I won’t say that it is the “Bradley Effect” it’s really that a good percentage of America is not confortable with the thought of a “black man” with the highest office in the land. It doesn’t matter that the country is suffering under bad leadership. Most of us as humans, will always go with the norm, instead of trying something new. Change is something good if you are willing to try it. There are no guarentees in life except “Taxes” and “Death”.

Michael West   October 28th, 2008 2108 GMT

Wake up, wake up wherever you are; they are both politicians and will say exactly what they think you want to hear. It is for us to “guess” where the truth lies and choose the right one. Not the best one; the right one. This is a contest between two politicians; two evils. Which one is the lesser. Forget Bradley, forget today. Wake up! Who is telling us what we want to hear. Who is the populist?

GenCobra   October 28th, 2008 2306 GMT

Obama is going to win this election. Now, what to do with all these racist mccain palin supporters.

Nancy   October 29th, 2008 104 GMT

Obama will bring our country back to the most respected country in the world!! Hope we can show the world the American citizens can get it right!

Nicholas   October 29th, 2008 246 GMT

i agree with most of you but you need to wake up.. damn it i mean are you demented of course your gonna vote Obama why would you vote McCain?? the Republicans had there chance they even reelected Bush making it 8 years now give the Democratic s a chance SWEET JESUS, ALAHA or whatever other god you pray too think .. use your head and stop voting for McCain you republicans realy dont care do you in the past 8 years you created your little nest and now you dont want to lose that nest you had your time you had your 8 years to make mony now its the middle classes turn sence we help you make that mony you got in that pocket of yours we are the builders.. we are the docter’s and we are the foundaitons of the United States let me say it again so your small brain can process it right UNITED….UNITED!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! NOT DEVIDED stupid IDIOTS

Adeoti   October 29th, 2008 733 GMT

“Some Americans are still upset about the 2000 election when Democrat Al Gore lost to George W. Bush, mainly because of the results in Florida. After the U.S. Supreme Court halted a recount in the state, Bush was certified as the winner of Florida by a razor-thin margin of 537 votes!”

Many outside the United States believed that that election was rigged by the Republicans. I, personally, was really disappointed. I had before then always use America as a standard of democracy, rule of Law and justice. Now, I don’t think these ideals exists anywhere in the world. If Obama becomes president; that would be something!!

Jakenya   October 29th, 2008 1316 GMT

Just feel sorry for the likes of Nana who are led to fear names of people. BHO as you call him is referred to as ‘that one’ by McCain, was born and given the name Hussein.. He is probably the most intelligent of any previous incumbents to the White House yet.. He is also human so failure is for everyone who walks the globe. None of us is so Godly.. An original American is the one you call native American or Indian. All the rest of you came from immigrants. So it is sad today that you would call someone whose mother hailed from Kansas and still has a living granny ‘unAmerican’. Delio, you seem to have a panic attack. You are voting for all the wrong reasons ‘Palin & McCain?’. This is not a movie. It is real life, real choices need to be made. One day the land of the free will be led by a Mexican, Pakistani, Georgian American. Just get used to that fact

Mizan   October 29th, 2008 1633 GMT

To be honest, I don’t see any Obama effect on this election but there is a strong effect on Obama`s campaign and that is money. Money and Media make Obama special. If he is the man what he is saying that he is, a regular man for every American specially for middle class, then there has to be synchronization between his deeds and his words and believes. He purchased 30 mins prime time of 5 major news channel. He is a big time spender. It is very easy to speak nice words, spreads philosophical words and most importantly uses appropriate words in front of people who are appropriate like when he addresses black community, he uses words “change” “history” “African American etc, when he addresses labor organization, he uses words “redistribution” “helping middle class” etc. He always picks words based on the type of crowds he is addressing. I heard the same type of word when it comes to sports too. His support is not fixed or consistent yet. I think, he is playing with people sentiment and it is very dangerous. He is best suited for the post of scriptwriter in Hollywood.

NChowdhury   October 29th, 2008 1951 GMT

All you red neck racist evangilical hypocrytical republican McCain supporters need to follow the movement of CHANGE. I a American Born Muslim American supported McCain until the masses of you ridiculed Obama for being a muslim. So what if he was a muslim? This is the country of my birth and I would die for it? Does my religion make me any less American. You Republicans had no come back to Barrack’s issues other than hate and lies. Whatever little muslim support the republican party ever had is now gone! Barrack wants to UNITE not Divide!

dokun babalola O   October 29th, 2008 1956 GMT

I am disappointed that CNN refused to air the Obama infomercial! Programming concerns? What programming??? The infomercial would have been of tremendously more interest than anything CNN could ever conjure in a month of sundays! I hope this is not the ‘Bradley effect’ playing out!

amikes   October 29th, 2008 2235 GMT

Unfortunately the Obama effect would mean a step closer to socialism…and further moral decay of our great country.

Denis   October 30th, 2008 1120 GMT

Mizan, that’s what being a politician is about, and Obama is a smart one at that. His campaign is simply so much more clued on than McCain’s, and Obama appears miles more authentic than any presidential candidate I have witnessed in the last 20 years. Whether he’ll be a great president or not, we won’t know, just like we won’t know if McCain is elected. But as things stands now, Obama is going to win this thing (according to the polls) because he’s done a much better job convincing the voters, while McCain has showned that he hasn’t got a clue how to manage his campaign, so there’s no reason why Americans would enthrust him with managing the nation.

From Arizona   October 30th, 2008 1523 GMT

What kind of experience McSame will bring to the whitehouse?? The American people now prove it that Senator is more capable of doing the job than McSame. McSame does not have a plan to fix all the issues during this cirsis. All he knows is cut, cut, cutting taxes. That’s all he always claimed. It’s all the same thing using the same tactics with Bush for the past eith 8 years. The American people now believe that Senator Obama got everything he needs to do the job as Presidnent. All the debates he acted smart, intelligent, brilliant, calm, capable, all of the aboved approach. The old man, McSame was showing inexperince from the very start of the primary, all the debates all the way but the same thing as the Bush philosophy. Sorry, not this time.

From Arizona   October 30th, 2008 1527 GMT

McSame has no real experience but a big hole in it. We can see the way he acted during all the debates, acted like a child. Madman all the way.

colette kennedy   October 30th, 2008 1624 GMT

As a naturalized American living in France after 30 years in the USA, I had always voted Republican. But now I have voted for Obama all the way. I do sincerely hope that the American voters will come to their senses and elect him and forget Mc Cain and his running mate; she made him appear ridiculous and she is vulgar, common, uneducated. and dangerous.With Mc Cain and possibly a Palin in the near-distant future, it would mean going to war again, and make the world hate Americans the way Bush did. Long live Obama. Let us help him to be our next President.

pkelly   October 30th, 2008 1808 GMT

I think Barack Obama is a highly articulate, intelligent individual with good judgment and leadership skills, he’s cool, calm and collected in a crisis, he’s not eratic. He listens, he thinks before he speaks. I think he is by far not only the better qualified candidate to be elected, but could well turn out to be the very best President the U.S. will ever have should be win, which I sincerely hope he does. McCain is a miserable, bitter, angry individual, apparently with a hearing deficit, he never listens, if he fact checks all the lies he apparently says Obama tells, he (McCain) would see that he (McCain) is the one not telling the truth. Had Mr. McCain chosen a better running mate, someone who has better knowledge of the economy/world affairs, he would be doing better. Obama is a different generation with a different outlook and attitude, communication being one of his better skills. Obama has better advisers. McCain is so busy critisizing Obama, some of the things Obama has said all along i.e. talking to our enemies, well wouldn’t you know the W.H. is attempting to do just that. Perhaps Mr. McCain not only has a hearing deficit, but an eyesight deficit also. I used to have respect to John McCain, I’ve lost is over the past few months. He chose to take the low road, while Obama took the hight road and boy does it show. Actions speak volumes. As for Sarah Palin, whilst she most certainly has good qualities, Alaska is far removed from mainstream U.S.A. she is somewhat out of touch with reality and it shows.

I hope Barack Obama wins big time, and for the ignorant individuals who do not know any better, he is an American with excellent leadership and judgment skills regardless of his colour, religion etc. To those with narrow minded attitudes who still live in another era, grow up and move on! GO FOR IT BARACK, KNOCK THEIR SOCKS OFF ON ELECTION DAY.

Colorado_n8tive   October 30th, 2008 1817 GMT

I don’t believe in the Bradley Effect. This country has taken a drastic turn. The biggest difference with the Great Depression was it hit American hard and was a time of hardship for everyone here (U.S). In my opinion, I think that with the world being on the brink of a massive global recession, unlike the depression, this crisis will effect not only the U.S but the entire World….

I am a young man who couldn’t afford school no more, due to my job cutting back. I am having to take care of my mother who has been a single parent most of her life and a devoted school teacher for over 28 years… I see her struggle with her bills, lost her childhood home, and now lives day to day.

I have a incredible group of friends, whom in which I’ve known for a very long time, some of whom I’ve known since we were in preschool.

we’ve graduated and went our separated ways in life. A lot of my friends enlisted in the Army/Marines…. I’ve lost friends to the war in Iraq… I do miss them and I am grateful for their service, and I it was there choice to enlist… I supported them and I support our troops no matter what. They protect us. They preserve our rights and freedoms. They are warriors and heros. They are one of a kind type of individuals who put his/hers country first. They do what they are to do, which is their job. I am tired of the Iraq war…

Afghanistan was righteous war. Iraq is a war in which McCain says we must win…. Palin said in her one and only debate, that American cant give up and wave the white flag. Iraq is a unique but different war. It’s not that our army is against another stand up or national army… we’re at war with people of different nationalities… Its a army of muliti national people from all over the mid east… A radical movement that hates American, Iraq is unstable and I think America is wasting money funding this war 10Billion/month and we’re struggling at home here. I’d like to see the troops back home with their families… They’ve done a lot these past 8 years and 5 years in Iraq. I am grateful for what the U.S Military has done. I keep them in my prays everyday and keep praying for their safety. I do think America has the best military in the world. Also the important role in which America has in the Global Markets. The world is watching what the U.S does in this historic election. Our image has been damage by Bush, Obama can restore our image back to being positive and what freedom means to the rest of the world. Obama all the way!

Bob   October 30th, 2008 1838 GMT

Barrack Obama is the Milli Vinilli of politics.

zara sambo   October 30th, 2008 1907 GMT

well not be optimitic obama will win becaue i am a fan of hi even though i love down in nigeria. America being tapled a prototype of democracy i undoubtly an illuion becaue even in American poltic rigging i a factor a seen in the 00 election becaue even to a lay man al gore won but even the most ‘’sophisticated” of political systems has a flaw. but obama is a canditate and advocate of change, he will bring america out as a new state and win hearts of the new found haters due to bushs policies.one word of advice to America, vote obama

boyu   October 31st, 2008 1058 GMT

Mackain is the man of the moment.

Changes   October 31st, 2008 1104 GMT

Anyone would be sick to vote for Mcloser. Atleast 97%of Kenyans think and would prefer Obama to win.

KISIMBI Juliana - Paris   October 31st, 2008 1259 GMT

Senator Obama will restore the American dream, restore the economy, change many lives, this will not happen overnight,but his presence in the whitehouse will bring about the change everybody is waiting – President of the United States of America – Mr. Barack Obama.

Bernd   October 31st, 2008 2128 GMT

Some time ago i’ve watched a report about the election within german TV. In that report they said that the americans are emotional voters. After reading the comments it seems that they are not wrong. Therefore the polls can not show what there will happen at the voting because the more emotional voters there are the less qualitiy the result of the polls will have.

Using the so called Bradley effect is that what always happens when some realizes that he will fail to reach his own goals. In that cases those persons do recall all the ghosts of the past that could help to get a turnaround and the media are always very helpful in those situations.

The Obama effect depends on every single person. Like within every other nation in the world in the US do people live in the past in a black+white world and others in the present in a more colorful world. For the people that do live in the past the Obama factor is a dividing factor. For those that do live in the present it is a uniting factor.

Most likely this election will be decided only by race because a lot of americans yet did not fell deep enough that economics will be a real factor. It seems that the most of them are just complaining. That leads McCain to win the votes because he is the white man. Also McCain/Palin does represent best what the USA became during the years:
‘A second-rate democracy with economic problems’.

A long long time ago….
Change was the reason for the people to leave Europe and go to the New World.
Change was the reason for the people to leave the East and go to the West.
Change was the reason that led the USA to become one of the most powerful nations in the world.
But this character of the people is long gone….

So let me finish with some words of Joseph Marie de Maistre and the “Koelner Progressive”.

Joseph Marie de Maistre(french philosopher and politician 1753-1821):
‘Every nation has the government it deserve’

The “Koelner Progressive”(founded by 3 german artists in 1920, dissolved by the Nazis in 1933):
‘Every nation will get the government is deserve’

RavenRaving   November 1st, 2008 458 GMT

The polls weren’t wrong. The election was stolen by electronic voting machines that issue no paper trail. We are the only first-world nation where exit polls do not accurately predict the election results, and instead of saying ‘There must be a problem with the way we do exit polls’ we should be saying ‘FRAUD! The machines are not counting votes accurately, they are flipping votes!’ And in 100% of vote flipping cases, it has been from Democratic to Republican.
We need free and fair elections, with the voter surpression tactics stopped. No more calling to tell people to vote on Wednesday if they are Democrats, no more illegal voter role purges, letters saying the cops will be at polls to arrest people, no more absentee ballots in democratic areas personally picked up by people who then dump them, no more voter caging, and NO MORE ELECTRONIC VOTING MACHINES. Democracies remain democratic only when their elections are free and fair.

Benneth I.O.   November 1st, 2008 1721 GMT

Ralitsa,
John McCain’s imense experience in foreign policy issues is important. Very important!. But let us be reminded that he is steeped in the same community bully psyche that has made America disliked, and yes, loathed by so many in the world community that many would waste their lives just to cause pains to innocent Americans.

Building up the body and looking sporty is good, very admirable, but the muscle of the mind and of love, and of respect for other people’s feelings works more magic than the muscle of the limbs that force opinions down the throat.

luli   November 1st, 2008 1844 GMT

While a young child, i had a dream, a dream to go to the land of hope, success and prosperity. My people loved America, hoped to be colonised by America and be part of this great nation. That was 30 years ago.Today, people hate the US, thanks to Bush. Canadians make sure they always wear a pin with their flag on it, just in case (god forbid) someone mistakes them for being American. Today, god sent the American people a great man who can to help them and restore the respect they had. Obama might not be white, but he cares more about Americans than the whiter than white idiot you have had for the last 8 long, disastrous years. I am marrying an American, he is a great person, just like 99% of Americans, a clever man, who is voting Obama. In fact his whole family who voted Repulican for the past 40 years, is voting Obama this year. I am so proud of them and of all Americans who, will use their brains this time and elect the man with one house and who really cares about all of you. he will have a lot to prove, please give him that chance, you will be glad to have voted for the greatest leader the world will ever know. His eldest daughter is such a smart girl too, watch out Chelsea, Sacha might become the first woman president. Go Obama! we are all with you… make America Great again. Go Obama! make it a great nation for my children! make us Proud! Go Obama! You owe it to you Country. God bless America and its great people!! Obama the white house is waiting for you… Americans VOTE VOTE VOTE PRESIDENT BARACK OBAMA.

Paul   November 2nd, 2008 1237 GMT

One of the easiest things in life is to criticize & blame others in hindsight for things gone wrong… isn’t it abundantly clear that the financial crisis has been in the making for many, many years, & that the main culprit is GREED, greed of the lenders, borrowers, & everyone who thought they could get something for nothing? It’s time to admit that many Americans have long been living in a fantasy where home prices can only go up & people keep getting richer on paper so they can buy 3 gas-guzzling cars & 3 large-screen TV’s & 3 of everything else (per person, that is).

If you choose to blame Bush alone for the financial crisis, then it’s fair to blame Bill Clinton for 9/11. On the other hand, if you assume that Obama has the quick-fix recipe to get the economy out of this mess that’s been so long in the making by bigger government, higher taxes, more regulation, then get a life please… or get ready for major disappointment !!

As a voter concerned about the economy, America’s place in the world, the well-being of my children & theirs in the future, I have only one choice & that is to vote for McCain-Palin. I hope & pray we will not see a liberal, left-leaning president who has only one concern & that is to grow the government thru increased taxes & increased intervention into people’s lives & citizens’ choices. Obama is a good speaker who has arguably run the better campaign, but oratory skills or hope alone are not reason enough to elect him president, not in mind or my conscience. In the near term, the future already looks bleak for America & our economy without raising taxes & penalizing those who work, companies that create jobs, normal citizens who want to invest for the future… the government has no business redistributing wealth the way Obama is planning to do, not in a free, capitalist system which has been an American hallmark from Day 1. Americans who feel denied the free services of government should go live in France or Russia or Scandinavia… or just north of the border in Canada.

And for those who think this election is about age or race or even change for change’s sake, think again… it is about conserving the American way of life & America’s place in the world. If you haven’t already, please vote your conscience & keep America working & growing… vote for the one that puts Country First, vote John McCain.

Viewer from the Netherlands   November 2nd, 2008 2308 GMT

I am tired of hearing that race might be an issuse. I honestly think that Americans and the world are ready for the positive change that Obama will bring when he is president.

Race wasn’t an issuse when he became the Democratic nominee was it? So why should it be one now?

Obama stands for Unity and that is what America need. Americans need to come together and stop fighting each other. It’s time for America to be ONE and not divided.

Obama will be a great president regardless of race because it’s not about the color of his skin, it’s about the amount of knowledge that he has.

It’s time for America to be ONE again!

sidi mohamed Mauritania   November 2nd, 2008 2313 GMT

i don’t think race is going to be an issue here, America has grown of age, gone are the days of race, example who would on earth believe that a Yoroba man in Nigeria would be a president ( Obasanjo) after years of Hausa/ Fulani rule. Instead the best candidate is he who would bring out America from the Mess the Republicans have soaked America into. obama is young and has competative aspect in tackling the problems of the World not only the US and repair it’s image towards it’s ugly foreign policies.

edward waibel   November 2nd, 2008 2314 GMT

Get real: Non-black Americans have long ago gotten beyond race, as evidenced by the FACT that statewide races for governor have been won by BLACKS because of WHITE voter support. Major cities have BLACK mayors which would NOT have occurred without WHITE voter support. Now, as to the current presidential election: BLACKS are overwhelming voting for Obama in percentages that exceed historical democrat/republican ratios because he (in their minds) is BLACK — that’s racism, plain and simple. As a matter of fact, when asked, many American BLACKS cannot articulate one Obama policy but will freely admit that their vote for him is because he is BLACK – that’s racism. In CNN’s international interviews, recently aired in places such as Egypt, Kenya, other places in Africa, etc. the respondents said their affinity for Obama was because (in their opinion) he is BLACK – that’s racism. I am a WHITE American who has voted for BLACK candidates many times in my 40+ years of voting. In the most recent election for senate in my state I voted for a BLACK candidate. This ugly attempt by media apologists to set up an “excuse” for an Obama loss (as unlikely as it appears to be) due to racism is alarming: don’t you realize that you are stirring the flames that could reignite when, if their is racism in this election, it is as much (if not more) exercised by the biind racist votes of non-whites than the other way around. As an aside, do you at CNN remember when Obama first announced his candidacy, which community was most repulsed? Why it was the BLACK community (articulated by its self-annointed political leaders) who said Obama was not a “true BLACK” or that he was not “BLACK enough.” It was not the white or non-black community making these outrageous and blatant racist comments from the get-go. Oh, by the way, I think Obama is really a WHITE guy with a tan: we are all a product of our genes AND our environment; the only thing BLACK in the Obama persona is the DNA for skin color of his father. Every other element of up-bringing, education, early childhood, adolescence, prep-school, and college was lilly WHITE. It is bizarre (to me) that a guy that is more “WHITE” than many (if not most) WHITE people sells himself to the world as the “BLACK” messiah. And you, Ralitsa, and the rest of CNN (and other media as well), are fostering and perpetuating what is fast becoming “urban legend.” It is extrarordinarily unprofessional; and, it if you had the capacity for shame, you would be overwhelmed by it. But, of course, you don’t; and, you will not. As I wrote at the outset, GET REAL (for a change).

Sezgin   November 2nd, 2008 2316 GMT

I am a boy from middle east and have been grown up with strong anti-american believes because I have been thought that many problems in our area were caused by American Imperialism. However, since Obama is running for the presidency, I feel like an American. I feel incredibly strong ties with America and with Americans. Thus, I already know what Obama effect is for me. I do sincerely hope that he will win the elections and the Obama effect can affect all other millions of young and old people from the middle east as well as from elsewhere in the world as it did change my attitudes toward America. In a strongly divided world, we really need someone who can build bridges, who can bring people, nations, religions and ideologies together! I really think that Obama will solve many complex international issues including the problems with Iran, North Korea as well as Israelian and Palestinian conflict. Perhaps, I (and all other Obama-believers) expect too much from one guy, but he is the ONE. The only ONE who gave me so much hope in my entire live that the ever lasting world problems can come to an end. Of course: YES WE CAN!

sidi mohamed Mauritania   November 2nd, 2008 2328 GMT

America be wise. Vote for the leader that will take you pass through what the whole world is facing ( another GREAT DEPRESSION). Go for the leader who will bring peace to the world not one who will make brothers Enemies. poverty is evreywhere, we need someone to bail US out, who will human enough to think of life not Power. The WORLD needs you. We need you OBAMA

daphna   November 3rd, 2008 208 GMT

The Obama Effect is such a crazy phenomenon that it doesn’t even have any basis in reality. Follow the link below, and listen to interviews that Howard Stern did in Harlem with Obama Supporters. They haven’t the foggiest idea what the issues are, and furthermore, they think that Palin is his running mate. Subject: Fw: Fwd: HOWARD STERN INTERVIEW IN HARLEM ON OBAMA

From the Howard Stern Show… Thank goodness America has “informed” voters…

http://www.bpmdeejays.com/upload/hs_sal_in_Harlem_100108.mp3

Manel Dias   November 3rd, 2008 647 GMT

According to the votings conducted by elctronicaly the countries such as United Kingdom, Netherlands, France, Spain, Switzerland, Japan, Germany, as well as China, and India, has voted supporting Barack Obama’s candidacy and hoping him to be the next president of USA.

Sen.Obama is highly intellectual, and his platform of ideas well suited for the drowning Americans right now. If he becomes the next President of USA this country will re-gain the respect and the honour (which has been drastically loosing since ages ) and will re-write the US history while returning the country into it’s greatest, most powerful country on earth.

olivier   November 3rd, 2008 1525 GMT

What is happening now in the USA means that the world has changed,to see an African-american running for presidency was a dream but now that dream has became reality.
I`m from Congo democratic,that is mean that election doesn`t concern me,american people must just know that in case Obama becomes the 44th president of USA,it will be a big progress in the name of DEMOCRATIE,and i think all over the world we will allways respect this great country.

Onyeacholem Paul   November 3rd, 2008 1629 GMT

Hello, i just want to say that you guys are wonderful by giving us day to day activity of the election trail between senator Barack Obama and senator John Mccain. I have known your network not to practice adulterated news.

According to history, which says blacks were formed from ape, are completely false because they cannot prove it beyond reasonable doubt. We are human beings just like the white, we talk, we eat, we reason and we move around just like them. So we should not be subservient to anyone.

Black African American is on the verge of making history, and i want to beg you all to double your effort with courage to continue to do what you know how to do best, by covering and giving us minute by minute details of the election poll.

Obviously, without any sentiment, senator Barack Obama’s manifesto is better than senator John Mccain. Barack Obama represents revolutionary trend. He is young and agile with great sense of humour and idea and also with great political clout. I have no doubt in my mind that, he is the man that fits America.

God bless CNN! God bless America!!!

Please accept my highest regards.
Little Paul.
From Nigeria.

Mizan   November 3rd, 2008 1750 GMT

Obama Effect : “In 2012, any candidate has to raise $1 billion to wrap up a successfull campaign. From this time, every election, there will be a huge media influence in the results. In future, any candidate can lie in front of the whole nation..he didn`t know that his aunt was staying in USA illegally. There is nothing wrong with it coz lots people are staying in USA illegally and it doesn`t and shoudn`t cost Obama anything but the question is : How come a person doesn`t know about the status of his family member?? I just didn`t get it”

Sergio From Chile   November 4th, 2008 156 GMT

A week ago we has a local election, but tomorrow’s election is more important for us because the leadership of the USA President in the World.
We are not North American voters but…
We Hope you can go and choose the best man
In a recent poll in Santiago Obama Obtain ninety percent of votes
we will celebrate with you … and with the rest of the world, that thinks the same
See yow tomorrow in the news
with the Obama- Biden 08- 12 Volunteers in the heart:
“Venceremos”
Sergio González
Santiago
Chile

Davies Okarevu   November 4th, 2008 746 GMT

25 years is a long time. The people of California at that time would be ashamed of what they did to Bradley. Today Americans are voting on behalf of world..the world economy is in tatters and we cannot afford another 4 years of the last eight years of visionless leadership of George Bush. This election has nothing to do with race or color. The candidates should be judged by the strength of their character and not by the color of their skins or eyes. If this election goes down to the issue of race, it would mark the beginning of the end of America as the leader of the free world..

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